SolidBowtie

Failure of a critical supplier

A single critical supplier stops delivering — insolvency, cyber attack or logistics — against dual sourcing, stock and tested continuity plans.

HazardOperations dependent on a small number of critical suppliers
Top eventA critical supplier suddenly stops delivering

4 threats 11 barriers 3 consequences safety-critical barriers marked

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Threats & preventive barriers

Each threat is a credible pathway to the top event; its barriers interrupt that pathway before control is lost.

Supplier insolvency

  • Financial health monitoring of critical suppliers

    Continuous · 70% effective · Owner: Procurement Lead

    Private suppliers publish little financial data

  • Step-in rights & escrow in contracts

    Socio-technical · 65% effective · Owner: Legal Counsel

Supplier hit by a cyber attack

  • Supplier security requirements & assessment

    Socio-technical · 70% effective · Owner: CISO

  • Contractual continuity & recovery obligations

    Socio-technical · 60% effective · Owner: Procurement Lead

Logistics or geopolitical disruption

  • Dual sourcing for critical inputs ★ critical

    Socio-technical · 80% effective · Owner: Supply Chain Manager

    📅 Single-source risk review · quarterly keep-alive task

  • Safety stock of critical materials

    Passive (hardware) · 75% effective · Owner: Supply Chain Manager

Quality failure forces a supply stop

  • Incoming inspection & supplier audits

    Socio-technical · 75% effective · Owner: Quality Manager

    📅 Supplier audit · annual keep-alive task

Consequences & recovery barriers

Once the top event happens, recovery barriers limit each consequence.

Production or service delivery stops

  • Continuity plan per critical supplier ★ critical

    Socio-technical · 80% effective · Owner: Business Continuity Manager

    📅 Continuity plan exercise · semiannual keep-alive task

  • Qualified alternative suppliers on standby

    Socio-technical · 70% effective · Owner: Procurement Lead

    Qualifying an alternative takes months

Customer SLA breaches

  • Customer communication & allocation plan

    Behavioural (human) · 70% effective · Owner: Customer Success Lead

Emergency procurement at premium prices

  • Pre-negotiated framework contracts

    Socio-technical · 65% effective · Owner: Procurement Lead

Copying this template gives you a fully editable bowtie: barrier owners arrive as role suggestions, escalation factors sit on their barriers, and keep-alive activities are scheduled from the moment you copy. New to the notation? Read what the bowtie method is or browse the practical guides.

Use this template free. Copy “Failure of a critical supplier” into your own workspace and adapt every barrier — no credit card.

Start free with this template →